collaborators

6 papers

cs.AI2026

General Probabilities of Causation with Causal Knowledge

Xin Shu, Zhen Lei, Ang Li

Probabilities of causation (PoCs) characterize individual causal responses that cannot be directly observed and therefore generally require partial identification. Tian and Pearl f…

stat.ME2026

General sample size analysis for probabilities of causation: a delta method approach

Tianyuan Cheng, Ruirui Mao, Judea Pearl +1

Probabilities of causation (PoCs), such as the probability of necessity and sufficiency (PNS), are important tools for decision making but are generally not point identifiable. Exi…

cs.AI2026

Bounding Probabilities of Causation with Partial Causal Diagrams

Yuxuan Xie, Ang Li

Probabilities of causation are fundamental to individual-level explanation and decision making, yet they are inherently counterfactual and not point-identifiable from data in gener…

cs.AI2026

Identification of Probabilities of Causation: from Recursive to Closed-Form Bounds

Xin Shu, Shuai Wang, Ang Li

Probabilities of causation (PoCs) are fundamental quantities for counterfactual analysis and personalized decision making. However, existing analytical results are largely confined…

stat.ME2025

Recover Experimental Data with Selection Bias using Counterfactual Logic

Jingyang He, Shuai Wang, Ang Li

Selection bias, arising from the systematic inclusion or exclusion of certain samples, poses a significant challenge to the validity of causal inference. While Bareinboim et al. in…

cs.AI2025

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models

Shuai Wang, Ang Li

Probabilities of causation play a crucial role in modern decision-making. This paper addresses the challenge of predicting probabilities of causation for subpopulations with insuff…