94 citations · 785 across the 34 of their papers we have counts for
12 papers · 1 filter
Impact of random and targeted disruptions on information diffusion during outbreaks
Hosein Masoomy, Tom Chou, Lucas Böttcher
Outbreaks are complex multi-scale processes that are impacted not only by cellular dynamics and the ability of pathogens to effectively reproduce and spread, but also by population…
Complex networks with complex weights
Lucas Böttcher, Mason A. Porter
In many studies, it is common to use binary (i.e., unweighted) edges to examine networks of entities that are either adjacent or not adjacent. Researchers have generalized such bin…
On the accuracy of short-term COVID-19 fatality forecasts
Nino Antulov-Fantulin, Lucas Böttcher
Forecasting new cases, hospitalizations, and disease-induced deaths is an important part of infectious disease surveillance and helps guide health officials in implementing effecti…
Spatio-temporal characteristics of dengue outbreaks
Saulo D. S. Reis, Lucas Böttcher, João P. da C. Nogueira +4
After their re-emergence in the last decades, dengue fever and other vector-borne diseases are a potential threat to the lives of millions of people. Based on a data set of dengue…
The Great Divide: Drivers of Polarization in the US Public
Lucas Böttcher, Hans Gersbach
Many democratic societies have become more politically polarized, with the U.S. as the main example. The origins of this phenomenon are still not well-understood and subject to deb…
The Impact of Technologies in Political Campaigns
Moritz Hoferer, Lucas Böttcher, Hans J. Herrmann +1
Recent political campaigns have demonstrated how technologies are used to boost election outcomes by microtargeting voters. We propose and analyze a framework which analyzes how po…
Clout, Activists and Budget: The Road to Presidency
L. Böttcher, Hans J. Herrmann, Hans Gersbach
Political campaigns involve, in the simplest case, two competing campaign groups which try to obtain a majority of votes. We propose a novel mathematical framework to study politic…
Targeted Recovery as an Effective Strategy against Epidemic Spreading
Lucas Böttcher, José S. Andrade, Hans J. Herrmann
We propose a targeted intervention protocol where recovery is restricted to individuals that have the least number of infected neighbours. Our recovery strategy is highly efficient…
Temporal dynamics of online petitions
Lucas Böttcher, Olivia Woolley-Meza, Dirk Brockmann
Online petitions are an important avenue for direct political action, yet the dynamics that determine when a petition will be successful are not well understood. Here we analyze th…
Impact of embedding on predictability of failure-recovery dynamics in networks
Lucas Böttcher, Mirko Lukovic, Jan Nagler +2
Failure, damage spread and recovery crucially underlie many spatially embedded networked systems ranging from transportation structures to the human body. Here we study the interpl…
Connectivity disruption sparks explosive epidemic spreading
L. Böttcher, O. Woolley-Meza, E. Goles +2
We investigate the spread of an infection or other malfunction of cascading nature when a system component can recover only if it remains reachable from a functioning central compo…
Gender gap in the ERASMUS mobility program
L. Böttcher, N. A. M. Araújo, J. Nagler +3
Studying abroad has become very popular among students. The ERASMUS mobility program is one of the largest international student exchange programs in the world, which has supported…