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stat.ME2025
Iterating marginalized Bayes maps for likelihood maximization with application to nonlinear panel models
Jesse Wheeler, Aaron J. Abkemeier, Edward L. Ionides
Complex dynamic systems can be investigated by fitting mechanistic stochastic dynamic models to time series data. In this context, commonly used Monte Carlo inference procedures fo…
stat.ME2025
Revisiting Inference for ARMA Models: Improved Fits and Superior Confidence Intervals
Jesse Wheeler, Edward L. Ionides
Autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models are widely used for analyzing time series data. However, standard likelihood-based inference methodology for ARMA models has avoidable l…
stat.ME2025
panelPomp: Analysis of Panel Data via Partially Observed Markov Processes in R
Carles Bretó, Jesse Wheeler, Aaron A. King +1
Panel data arise when time series measurements are collected from multiple, dynamically independent but structurally related systems. Each system's time series can be modeled as a…