2 papers
cs.GT2025
The Impacts of Increasingly Complex Matchup Models on Baseball Win Probability
Tristan Mott, Caleb Bradshaw, David Grimsman +1
Baseball is a game of strategic decisions including bullpen usage, pinch-hitting and intentional walks. Managers must adjust their strategies based on the changing state of the gam…
cs.AI2024
LLM Generated Distribution-Based Prediction of US Electoral Results, Part I
Caleb Bradshaw, Caelen Miller, Sean Warnick
This paper introduces distribution-based prediction, a novel approach to using Large Language Models (LLMs) as predictive tools by interpreting output token probabilities as distri…