activity
20152023
most citedNeural basis expansion analysis with exogenous variables: Forecasting electricity prices with NBEATSx

259 citations · 463 across the 39 of their papers we have counts for

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25 papers · 1 filter

cs.LG2022★ 15 cited

auton-survival: an Open-Source Package for Regression, Counterfactual Estimation, Evaluation and Phenotyping with Censored Time-to-Event Data

Chirag Nagpal, Willa Potosnak, Artur Dubrawski

Applications of machine learning in healthcare often require working with time-to-event prediction tasks including prognostication of an adverse event, re-hospitalization or death.…

cs.LG2022

Constrained Clustering and Multiple Kernel Learning without Pairwise Constraint Relaxation

Benedikt Boecking, Vincent Jeanselme, Artur Dubrawski

Clustering under pairwise constraints is an important knowledge discovery tool that enables the learning of appropriate kernels or distance metrics to improve clustering performanc…

cs.LG2022★ 27 cited

Counterfactual Phenotyping with Censored Time-to-Events

Chirag Nagpal, Mononito Goswami, Keith Dufendach +1

Estimation of treatment efficacy of real-world clinical interventions involves working with continuous outcomes such as time-to-death, re-hospitalization, or a composite event that…

cs.LG2022★ 44 cited

N-HiTS: Neural Hierarchical Interpolation for Time Series Forecasting

Cristian Challu, Kin G. Olivares, Boris N. Oreshkin +3

Recent progress in neural forecasting accelerated improvements in the performance of large-scale forecasting systems. Yet, long-horizon forecasting remains a very difficult task. T…

cs.LG2021

Discovery of Crime Event Sequences with Constricted Spatio-Temporal Sequential Patterns

Piotr S. Maciąg, Robert Bembenik, Artur Dubrawski

In this article, we introduce a novel type of spatio-temporal sequential patterns called Constricted Spatio-Temporal Sequential (CSTS) patterns and thoroughly analyze their propert…

cs.LG2021

Provably Robust Model-Centric Explanations for Critical Decision-Making

Cecilia G. Morales, Nicholas Gisolfi, Robert Edman +2

We recommend using a model-centric, Boolean Satisfiability (SAT) formalism to obtain useful explanations of trained model behavior, different and complementary to what can be glean…

cs.LG2021

End-to-End Weak Supervision

Salva Rühling Cachay, Benedikt Boecking, Artur Dubrawski

Aggregating multiple sources of weak supervision (WS) can ease the data-labeling bottleneck prevalent in many machine learning applications, by replacing the tedious manual collect…

cs.LG2021★ 3 cited

Dependency Structure Misspecification in Multi-Source Weak Supervision Models

Salva Rühling Cachay, Benedikt Boecking, Artur Dubrawski

Data programming (DP) has proven to be an attractive alternative to costly hand-labeling of data. In DP, users encode domain knowledge into \emph{labeling functions} (LF), heuristi…

cs.LG2021★ 1 cited

DMIDAS: Deep Mixed Data Sampling Regression for Long Multi-Horizon Time Series Forecasting

Cristian Challu, Kin G. Olivares, Gus Welter +1

Neural forecasting has shown significant improvements in the accuracy of large-scale systems, yet predicting extremely long horizons remains a challenging task. Two common problems…

cs.LG2021★ 259 cited

Neural basis expansion analysis with exogenous variables: Forecasting electricity prices with NBEATSx

Kin G. Olivares, Cristian Challu, Grzegorz Marcjasz +2

We extend the neural basis expansion analysis (NBEATS) to incorporate exogenous factors. The resulting method, called NBEATSx, improves on a well performing deep learning model, ex…

cs.LG2021★ 8 cited

Interactive Weak Supervision: Learning Useful Heuristics for Data Labeling

Benedikt Boecking, Willie Neiswanger, Eric Xing +1

Obtaining large annotated datasets is critical for training successful machine learning models and it is often a bottleneck in practice. Weak supervision offers a promising alterna…

cs.LG2021★ 25 cited

Leveraging Expert Consistency to Improve Algorithmic Decision Support

Maria De-Arteaga, Vincent Jeanselme, Artur Dubrawski +1

Machine learning (ML) is increasingly being used to support high-stakes decisions. However, there is frequently a construct gap: a gap between the construct of interest to the deci…

cs.LG2020

Self-Reflective Variational Autoencoder

Ifigeneia Apostolopoulou, Elan Rosenfeld, Artur Dubrawski

The Variational Autoencoder (VAE) is a powerful framework for learning probabilistic latent variable generative models. However, typical assumptions on the approximate posterior di…

cs.LG2020★ 7 cited

Preference-based Reinforcement Learning with Finite-Time Guarantees

Yichong Xu, Ruosong Wang, Lin F. Yang +2

Preference-based Reinforcement Learning (PbRL) replaces reward values in traditional reinforcement learning by preferences to better elicit human opinion on the target objective, e…

cs.LG2020★ 7 cited

Deep Survival Machines: Fully Parametric Survival Regression and Representation Learning for Censored Data with Competing Risks

Chirag Nagpal, Xinyu Rachel Li, Artur Dubrawski

We describe a new approach to estimating relative risks in time-to-event prediction problems with censored data in a fully parametric manner. Our approach does not require making s…

cs.LG2019★ 3 cited

Pairwise Feedback for Data Programming

Benedikt Boecking, Artur Dubrawski

The scalability of the labeling process and the attainable quality of labels have become limiting factors for many applications of machine learning. The programmatic creation of la…

cs.LG2019★ 1 cited

Detecting Patterns of Physiological Response to Hemodynamic Stress via Unsupervised Deep Learning

Chufan Gao, Fabian Falck, Mononito Goswami +3

Monitoring physiological responses to hemodynamic stress can help in determining appropriate treatment and ensuring good patient outcomes. Physicians' intuition suggests that the h…

cs.LG2019★ 3 cited

Zeroth Order Non-convex optimization with Dueling-Choice Bandits

Yichong Xu, Aparna Joshi, Aarti Singh +1

We consider a novel setting of zeroth order non-convex optimization, where in addition to querying the function value at a given point, we can also duel two points and get the poin…

cs.LG2019★ 28 cited

Active Learning for Graph Neural Networks via Node Feature Propagation

Yuexin Wu, Yichong Xu, Aarti Singh +2

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) for prediction tasks like node classification or edge prediction have received increasing attention in recent machine learning from graphically structu…

cs.LG2019★ 2 cited

Thresholding Bandit Problem with Both Duels and Pulls

Yichong Xu, Xi Chen, Aarti Singh +1

The Thresholding Bandit Problem (TBP) aims to find the set of arms with mean rewards greater than a given threshold. We consider a new setting of TBP, where in addition to pulling…

cs.LG2019★ 3 cited

Nonlinear Semi-Parametric Models for Survival Analysis

Chirag Nagpal, Rohan Sangave, Amit Chahar +3

Semi-parametric survival analysis methods like the Cox Proportional Hazards (CPH) regression (Cox, 1972) are a popular approach for survival analysis. These methods involve fitting…

cs.LG2018

Learning under selective labels in the presence of expert consistency

Maria De-Arteaga, Artur Dubrawski, Alexandra Chouldechova

We explore the problem of learning under selective labels in the context of algorithm-assisted decision making. Selective labels is a pervasive selection bias problem that arises w…

cs.LG2018★ 5 cited

Novel Prediction Techniques Based on Clusterwise Linear Regression

Igor Gitman, Jieshi Chen, Eric Lei +1

In this paper we explore different regression models based on Clusterwise Linear Regression (CLR). CLR aims to find the partition of the data into clusters, such that linear re…

cs.LG2016★ 2 cited

Suppressing Background Radiation Using Poisson Principal Component Analysis

P. Tandon, P. Huggins, A. Dubrawski +2

Performance of nuclear threat detection systems based on gamma-ray spectrometry often strongly depends on the ability to identify the part of measured signal that can be attributed…