14 citations · 27 across the 27 of their papers we have counts for
15 papers · 1 filter
Joint-task truthfulness of the DMI mechanism
Rafael Frongillo
The Determinant Mutual Information (DMI) mechanism of Kong (2020, 2024) is dominantly truthful within the class of *consistent* reporting strategies, those that apply the same sing…
Adaptive Liquidity in Prediction Markets via Online Learning
Enrique Nueve, Bao Nguyen, Rafael Frongillo +1
Prediction markets rely on liquidity to convert trades into informative prices, yet existing mechanisms fix liquidity ex ante. This restriction enforces a static trade-off between…
Equilibria in Large Position-Optimization Games
Rafael Frongillo, Melody Hsu, Mary Monroe +1
We propose a general class of symmetric games called position-optimization games. Given a probability distribution over a set of targets , the players each cho…
Robust forecast aggregation via additional queries
Rafael Frongillo, Mary Monroe, Eric Neyman +1
We study the problem of robust forecast aggregation: combining expert forecasts with provable accuracy guarantees compared to the best possible aggregation of the underlying inform…
Peer Prediction with More Signals than Reports
Rafael Frongillo, Ian Kash, Mary Monroe
Peer prediction mechanisms are typically proposed and analyzed under the assumption that the report and signal spaces are identical. In practice, however, agents often observe rich…
A General Theory of Liquidity Provisioning for Prediction Markets
Adithya Bhaskara, Rafael Frongillo, Elias Lindgren +1
Liquidity provisioning in automated market makers is the practice of recruiting third-party liquidity providers (LPs) to contribute assets to the market in exchange for fees skimme…