activity
20162026
most citedAn active-learning algorithm that combines sparse polynomial chaos expansions and bootstrap for structural reliability analysis

297 citations · 1.6k across the 24 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

28 papers

math.DS2026

Probabilistic function-on-function nonlinear autoregressive model for emulation and reliability analysis of stochastic dynamical systems

Zhouzhou Song, Marcos A. Valdebenito, Styfen Schär +3

Constructing accurate and computationally efficient surrogate models (or emulators) for predicting dynamical system responses is critical in many engineering domains, yet remains c…

stat.CO2025

Surrogate modeling for uncertainty quantification in nonlinear dynamics

S. Marelli, S. Schär, B. Sudret

Predicting the behavior of complex systems in engineering often involves significant uncertainty about operating conditions, such as external loads, environmental effects, and manu…

stat.CO2025★ 2 cited

mNARX+: A surrogate model for complex dynamical systems using manifold-NARX and automatic feature selection

S. Schär, S. Marelli, B. Sudret

We propose an automatic approach for manifold nonlinear autoregressive with exogenous inputs (mNARX) modeling that leverages the feature-based structure of functional-NARX (F-NARX)…

physics.geo-ph2023★ 1 cited

Bayesian tomography using polynomial chaos expansion and deep generative networks

Giovanni Angelo Meles, Macarena Amaya, Shiran Levy +2

Implementations of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods need to confront two fundamental challenges: accurate representation of prior information and efficient evaluation of lik…

stat.CO2023

Emulating the dynamics of complex systems using autoregressive models on manifolds (mNARX)

Styfen Schär, Stefano Marelli, Bruno Sudret

We propose a novel surrogate modelling approach to efficiently and accurately approximate the response of complex dynamical systems driven by time-varying exogenous excitations ove…

stat.ME2023★ 41 cited

Reliability analysis of arbitrary systems based on active learning and global sensitivity analysis

Maliki Moustapha, Pietro Parisi, Stefano Marelli +1

System reliability analysis aims at computing the probability of failure of an engineering system given a set of uncertain inputs and limit state functions. Active-learning solutio…