activity
20162026
most citedBayes factor consistency

24 citations · 24 across the 6 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

7 papers

stat.ME2026

Dynamic Factor Stochastic Volatility-in-Mean VAR for Large Macroeconomic Panels

Daichi Hiraki, Siddhartha Chib, Yasuhiro Omori

We develop a dynamic factor stochastic volatility-in-mean (SVM) specification for vector autoregressions (VARs) that embeds an SVM component within a dynamic factor stochastic vola…

econ.EM2026

Testing for Endogeneity: A Moment-Based Bayesian Approach

Siddhartha Chib, Minchul Shin, Anna Simoni

A standard assumption in the Bayesian estimation of linear regression models is that the regressors are exogenous in the sense that they are uncorrelated with the model error term.…

econ.EM2025

Learning the Macroeconomic Language

Siddhartha Chib, Fei Tan, Zhixun Zhang

We show how state-of-the-art large language models (LLMs) can be trained effectively on limited historical data for macroeconomic forecasting. We estimate a dynamic stochastic gene…

econ.EM2024

Stochastic Volatility in Mean: Efficient Analysis by a Generalized Mixture Sampler

Daichi Hiraki, Siddhartha Chib, Yasuhiro Omori

In this paper we consider the simulation-based Bayesian analysis of stochastic volatility in mean (SVM) models. Extending the highly efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo mixture samp…

math.ST2021

Bayesian Estimation and Comparison of Conditional Moment Models

Siddhartha Chib, Minchul Shin, Anna Simoni

We consider the Bayesian analysis of models in which the unknown distribution of the outcomes is specified up to a set of conditional moment restrictions. The nonparametric exponen…

math.ST2016★ 24 cited

Bayes factor consistency

Siddhartha Chib, Todd A. Kuffner

Good large sample performance is typically a minimum requirement of any model selection criterion. This article focuses on the consistency property of the Bayes factor, a commonly…