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math.DS2017
(Un)predictability of strong El Niño events
John Guckenheimer, Axel Timmermann, Henk Dijkstra +1
The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a mode of interannual variability in the coupled equatorial Pacific coupled atmosphere/ocean system. El Niño describes a state in which s…
math.DS2015★ 43 cited
Mixed mode oscillations of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation
Andrew Roberts, Esther Widiasih, Axel Timmermann +2
Very strong El Niño events occur sporadically every 10-20 years. The origin of this bursting behavior still remains elusive. Using a simplified 3-dimensional dynamical model of the…