4 papers
On the Effect of Regularization on Nonparametric Mean-Variance Regression
Eliot Wong-Toi, Alex Boyd, Vincent Fortuin +1
Uncertainty quantification is vital for decision-making and risk assessment in machine learning. Mean-variance regression models, which predict both a mean and residual noise for e…
Generative Uncertainty in Diffusion Models
Metod Jazbec, Eliot Wong-Toi, Guoxuan Xia +3
Diffusion models have recently driven significant breakthroughs in generative modeling. While state-of-the-art models produce high-quality samples on average, individual samples ca…
JANET: Joint Adaptive predictioN-region Estimation for Time-series
Eshant English, Eliot Wong-Toi, Matteo Fontana +3
Conformal prediction provides machine learning models with prediction sets that offer theoretical guarantees, but the underlying assumption of exchangeability limits its applicabil…
Navigating the Noise: Bringing Clarity to ML Parameterization Design with O(100) Ensembles
Jerry Lin, Sungduk Yu, Liran Peng +6
Machine-learning (ML) parameterizations of subgrid processes (here of turbulence, convection, and radiation) may one day replace conventional parameterizations by emulating high-re…