4 citations · 5 across the 2 of their papers we have counts for
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stat.AP2021
More on verification of probability forecasts for football outcomes: score decompositions, reliability, and discrimination analyses
Jean-Louis Foulley
Forecast of football outcomes in terms of Home Win, Draw and Away Win relies largely on ex ante probability elicitation of these events and ex post verification of them via computa…
stat.AP2018
A penalty criterion for score forecasting in soccer
Jean-Louis Foulley, Gilles Celeux
This note proposes a penalty criterion for assessing correct score forecasting in a soccer match. The penalty is based on hierarchical priorities for such a forecast i.e., i) Win,…
stat.AP2015★ 4 cited
A simple Bayesian procedure for forecasting the outcomes of the UEFA Champions League matches
Jean-Louis Foulley
This article presents a Bayesian implementation of a cumulative probit model to forecast the outcomes of the UEFA Champions League matches. The argument of the normal CDF involves…