2 papers
cs.AI2025
Assessing model error in counterfactual worlds
Emily Howerton, Justin Lessler
Counterfactual scenario modeling exercises that ask "what would happen if?" are one of the most common ways we plan for the future. Despite their ubiquity in planning and decision…
q-bio.PE2025
Complex multiannual cycles of Mycoplasma pneumoniae: persistence and the role of stochasticity
Bjarke Frost Nielsen, Sang Woo Park, Emily Howerton +3
The epidemiological dynamics of Mycoplasma pneumoniae is characterized by poorly understood complex multiannual cycles. The origins of these cycles have long been debated, and mult…