871 citations · 943 across the 16 of their papers we have counts for
20 papers
Impacts of social and impact heterogeneity on social-climate outcomes
Amrita Punnavajhala, Brian Beckage, Madhur Anand +3
Regional heterogeneity in social characteristics, temperature change, and vulnerability to climate impacts is likely to influence the magnitude of anthropogenic climate change, but…
Coupled opinion-environmental dynamics in polarized and prejudiced populations
Cameron Kerr, Madhur Anand, Chris T Bauch
Public opinion on environmental issues remains polarized in many countries, posing a significant barrier to the implementation of effective policies. Behind this polarization, empi…
Space, time and altruism in pandemics and the climate emergency
Chris T. Bauch, Athira Satheesh Kumar, Kamal Jnawali +3
Climate change is a global emergency, as was the COVID-19 pandemic. Why was our collective response to COVID-19 so much stronger than our response to the climate emergency, to date…
When Simple is Enough, Binary Models Capture Social Complexity in Coupled Human-Environment Systems
Yazdan Babazadeh Maghsoodlo, Madhur Anand, Chris T. Bauch
Models of coupled human-environment systems often face a tradeoff between realism and tractability. Spectrum opinion models, where social preferences vary continuously, offer descr…
Implications of regional variations in climate change vulnerability and mitigation behaviour for social-climate dynamics
Amrita Punnavajhala, Timothy M. Lenton, Chris T. Bauch +1
How regional heterogeneity in social and cultural processes drive--and respond to--climate dynamics is little studied. Here we present a coupled social-climate model stratified acr…
Echoes Before Collapse: Deep Learning Detection of Flickering in Complex Systems
Yazdan Babazadeh Maghsoodlo, Madhur Anand, Chris T. Bauch
Deep learning offers powerful tools for anticipating tipping points in complex systems, yet its potential for detecting flickering (noise-driven switching between coexisting stable…
Neural models for prediction of spatially patterned phase transitions: methods and challenges
Daniel Dylewsky, Sonia Kéfi, Madhur Anand +1
Dryland vegetation ecosystems are known to be susceptible to critical transitions between alternative stable states when subjected to external forcing. Such transitions are often d…
From Opinion Polarization to Climate Action: A Social-Climate Model of the Opinion Spectrum
Athira Satheesh Kumar, Krešimir Josić, Chris T Bauch +1
We developed a coupled social-climate network model to understand the interaction between climate change opinion spread and the climate system and determine the role of this intera…
Social dynamics can delay or prevent climate tipping points by speeding the adoption of climate change mitigation
Yazdan Babazadeh Maghsoodlo, Madhur Anand, Chris T. Bauch
Social behaviour models are increasingly integrated into climate change studies, and the significance of climate tipping points for `runaway' climate change is well recognised. How…
Early Warning Signals for Bifurcations Embedded in High Dimensions
Daniel Dylewsky, Madhur Anand, Chris T. Bauch
Recent work has highlighted the utility of methods for early warning signal detection in dynamic systems approaching critical tipping thresholds. Often these tipping points resembl…
Predicting discrete-time bifurcations with deep learning
Thomas M. Bury, Daniel Dylewsky, Chris T. Bauch +4
Many natural and man-made systems are prone to critical transitions -- abrupt and potentially devastating changes in dynamics. Deep learning classifiers can provide an early warnin…
Partisan US News Media Representations of Syrian Refugees
Keyu Chen, Marzieh Babaeianjelodar, Yiwen Shi +13
We investigate how representations of Syrian refugees (2011-2021) differ across US partisan news outlets. We analyze 47,388 articles from the online US media about Syrian refugees…
Universal Early Warning Signals of Phase Transitions in Climate Systems
Daniel Dylewsky, Timothy M. Lenton, Marten Scheffer +4
The potential for complex systems to exhibit tipping points in which an equilibrium state undergoes a sudden and often irreversible shift is well established, but prediction of the…
A well-timed switch from local to global agreements accelerates climate change mitigation
Vadim A. Karatayev, Vítor V. Vasconcelos, Anne-Sophie Lafuite +3
Recent attempts at cooperating on climate change mitigation highlight the limited efficacy of large-scale agreements, when commitment to mitigation is costly and initially rare. Bo…
Targeted Pandemic Containment Through Identifying Local Contact Network Bottlenecks
Shenghao Yang, Priyabrata Senapati, Di Wang +2
Decision-making about pandemic mitigation often relies upon simulation modelling. Models of disease transmission through networks of contacts--between individuals or between popula…
Cooperation in a generalized age-structured spatial game
Paulo Victor Santos Souza, Rafael Silva, Chris T. Bauch +1
The emergence and prevalence of cooperative behavior within a group of selfish individuals remains a puzzle for \text{evolutionary game theory} precisely because it conflicts direc…
Truncation selection and diffusion on lattices
Bryce Morsky, Chris T. Bauch
Evolutionary games on graphs have been extensively studied. A variety of graph structures, graph dynamics, and behaviours of replicators have been explored. These models have prima…
Statistical physics of vaccination
Zhen Wang, Chris T. Bauch, Samit Bhattacharyya +6
Historically, infectious diseases caused considerable damage to human societies, and they continue to do so today. To help reduce their impact, mathematical models of disease trans…
Role of word-of-mouth for programs of voluntary vaccination: A game-theoretic approach
Samit Bhattacharyya, Chris Bauch, Romulus Breban
We propose a model describing the synergetic feedback between word-of-mouth (WoM) and epidemic dynamics controlled by voluntary vaccination. We combine a game-theoretic model for t…
Epidemic branching processes with and without vaccination
Arni S. R. Srinivasa Rao, Chris T. Bauch
Here we treat the transmission of disease through a population as a standard Galton-Watson branching process, modified to take the presence of vaccination into account. Vaccination…