120 citations · 279 across the 18 of their papers we have counts for
4 papers · 1 filter
Model combinations through revised base-rates
Fotios Petropoulos, Evangelos Spiliotis, Anastasios Panagiotelis
Standard selection criteria for forecasting models focus on information that is calculated for each series independently, disregarding the general tendencies and performances of th…
Wielding Occam's razor: Fast and frugal retail forecasting
Fotios Petropoulos, Yael Grushka-Cockayne, Enno Siemsen +1
The algorithms available for retail forecasting have increased in complexity. Newer methods, such as machine learning, are inherently complex. The more traditional families of fore…
The future of forecasting competitions: Design attributes and principles
Spyros Makridakis, Chris Fry, Fotios Petropoulos +1
Forecasting competitions are the equivalent of laboratory experimentation widely used in physical and life sciences. They provide useful, objective information to improve the theor…
Improving forecasting by subsampling seasonal time series
Xixi Li, Fotios Petropoulos, Yanfei Kang
Time series forecasting plays an increasingly important role in modern business decisions. In today's data-rich environment, people often aim to choose the optimal forecasting mode…