activity
20152026
most citedThe Optimised Theta Method

7 citations · 13 across the 9 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators
Showing stat.APShow all

5 papers · 1 filter

stat.AP2026

Probabilistic forecasting via post-processing prediction errors: In- or out-of-sample?

Piotr Zaborowski, Arkadiusz Lipiecki, Fotios Petropoulos +1

Many forecasting systems produce point forecasts even when decisions require information about uncertainty. We investigate whether post-processing methods can systematically improv…

stat.AP2026

Multi-objective probabilistic forecast combination for inventory demand

Shengjie Wang, Yanfei Kang, Evangelos Spiliotis +1

Probabilistic forecasts are essential for inventory management, where decisions depend on the full distribution of future demand. While probabilistic forecast combination is widely…

stat.AP20234 cited

The M6 forecasting competition: Bridging the gap between forecasting and investment decisions

Spyros Makridakis, Evangelos Spiliotis, Ross Hollyman +3

The M6 forecasting competition, the sixth in the Makridakis' competition sequence, is focused on financial forecasting. A key objective of the M6 competition was to contribute to t…

stat.AP2023

Combining Probabilistic Forecasts of Intermittent Demand

Shengjie Wang, Yanfei Kang, Fotios Petropoulos

In recent decades, new methods and approaches have been developed for forecasting intermittent demand series. However, the majority of research has focused on point forecasting, wi…

stat.AP2021

The future of forecasting competitions: Design attributes and principles

Spyros Makridakis, Chris Fry, Fotios Petropoulos +1

Forecasting competitions are the equivalent of laboratory experimentation widely used in physical and life sciences. They provide useful, objective information to improve the theor…