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stat.ME2026
Population-Level Decision Curve Analysis May Mislead the Evaluation of Prediction Model Usefulness under Subgroup Utility Heterogeneity
Junfeng Wang, Kim Zhipei Wang, Ben Van Calster +3
Background Decision curve analysis (DCA) evaluates prediction model usefulness using net benefit (NB). Population-level NB is often interpreted as a proxy for population-level expe…
cs.LG2026
Optimizing for the decision not the prediction: an exploration of Smooth Net Benefit as a training objective
Koen M. F. Gorgels, Lasai Barreñada, Maarten van Smeden +3
Objective Prediction models are commonly trained using objectives such as Bernoulli negative log-likelihood (NLL), although downstream clinical decisions may depend on specific ris…