activity
20142022
most citedDynamical Instability and Expansion-free Condition in Gravity

118 citations · 133 across the 9 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

10 papers

stat.CO2022

The Lifebelt Particle Filter for robust estimation from low-valued count data

Alice Corbella, Trevelyan J. McKinley, Paul J. Birrell +4

Particle filtering methods can be applied to estimation problems in discrete spaces on bounded domains, to sample from and marginalise over unknown hidden states. As in continuous…

stat.CO2022

Automatic Zig-Zag sampling in practice

Alice Corbella, Simon E F Spencer, Gareth O Roberts

Novel Monte Carlo methods to generate samples from a target distribution, such as a posterior from a Bayesian analysis, have rapidly expanded in the past decade. Algorithms based o…

stat.ME2021

Efficient Bayesian model selection for coupled hidden Markov models with application to infectious diseases

Jake Carson, Trevelyan J. McKinley, Peter Neal +1

Performing model selection for coupled hidden Markov models (CHMMs) is highly challenging, owing to the large dimension of the hidden state process. Whilst in principle the hidden…

stat.AP2020

Statistical methods for linking geostatistical maps and transmission models: Application to lymphatic filariasis in East Africa

Panayiota Touloupou, Renata Retkute, T Deirdre Hollingsworth +1

Infectious diseases remain one of the major causes of human mortality and suffering. Mathematical models have been established as an important tool for capturing the features that…

q-bio.PE2020

An epidemic model for an evolving pathogen with strain-dependent immunity

Adam Griffin, Simon E. F. Spencer, Gareth O. Roberts

Between pandemics, the influenza virus exhibits periods of incremental evolution via a process known as antigenic drift. This process gives rise to a sequence of strains of the pat…

stat.CO2017

Simulation from quasi-stationary distributions on reducible state spaces

Adam Griffin, Paul A. Jenkins, Gareth O. Roberts +1

Quasi-stationary distributions (QSDs)arise from stochastic processes that exhibit transient equilibrium behaviour on the way to absorption QSDs are often mathematically intractable…