6 citations · 10 across the 4 of their papers we have counts for
4 papers · 1 filter
Interpretation of the Area Under the ROC Curve for Risk Prediction Models
Ralph H. Stern
The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristics curve (ROC) evaluates the separation between patients and nonpatients or discrimination. For risk predictio…
Improving the Presentation and Understanding of Risk Models
Ralph H. Stern, Dean E. Smith, Hitinder S. Gurm
The key concepts (calibration, discrimination, and discordance) important in understanding and comparing risk models are best conveyed graphically. To illustrate this, models predi…
The Discordance of Individual Risk Estimates and the Reference Class Problem
Ralph H. Stern
Multivariate methods that relate outcomes to risk factors have been adopted clinically to individualize treatment. This has promoted the belief that individuals have a true or uniq…
The Risk Distribution Curve and its Derivatives
Ralph Stern
Risk stratification is most directly and informatively summarized as a risk distribution curve. From this curve the ROC curve, predictiveness curve, and other curves depicting risk…