114 citations · 302 across the 21 of their papers we have counts for
5 papers · 1 filter
Bounding the Probability of Causation in Mediation Analysis
A. P. Dawid, R. Murtas, M. Musio
Given empirical evidence for the dependence of an outcome variable on an exposure variable, we can typically only provide bounds for the "probability of causation" in the case of a…
Comparisons of Hyvärinen and pairwise estimators in two simple linear time series models
Valentina Mameli, Monica Musio, A. Philip Dawid
The aim of this paper is to compare numerically the performance of two estimators based on Hyvärinen's local homogeneous scoring rule with that of the full and the pairwise maximum…
Bayesian Model Selection Based on Proper Scoring Rules
A. Philip Dawid, Monica Musio
Bayesian model selection with improper priors is not well-defined because of the dependence of the marginal likelihood on the arbitrary scaling constants of the within-model prior…
Minimum scoring rule inference
Philip Dawid, Monica Musio, Laura Ventura
Proper scoring rules are methods for encouraging honest assessment of probability distributions. Just like likelihood, a proper scoring rule can be applied to supply an unbiased es…
Theory and Applications of Proper Scoring Rules
A. Philip Dawid, Monica Musio
We give an overview of some uses of proper scoring rules in statistical inference, including frequentist estimation theory and Bayesian model selection with improper priors.