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20052026
most citedAll Models are Wrong, but Many are Useful: Learning a Variable's Importance by Studying an Entire Class of Prediction Models Simultaneously

1.2k citations · 5k across the 152 of their papers we have counts for

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9 papers · 1 filter

stat.AP2020★ 1 cited

Matching Bounds: How Choice of Matching Algorithm Impacts Treatment Effects Estimates and What to Do about It

Marco Morucci, Cynthia Rudin

Many major works in social science employ matching to make causal conclusions, but different matches on the same data may produce different treatment effect estimates, even when th…

stat.AP2018

The age of secrecy and unfairness in recidivism prediction

Cynthia Rudin, Caroline Wang, Beau Coker

In our current society, secret algorithms make important decisions about individuals. There has been substantial discussion about whether these algorithms are unfair to groups of i…

stat.AP2016★ 10 cited

The latent state hazard model, with application to wind turbine reliability

Ramin Moghaddass, Cynthia Rudin

We present a new model for reliability analysis that is able to distinguish the latent internal vulnerability state of the equipment from the vulnerability caused by temporary exte…

stat.AP2015★ 790 cited

Interpretable classifiers using rules and Bayesian analysis: Building a better stroke prediction model

Benjamin Letham, Cynthia Rudin, Tyler H. McCormick +1

We aim to produce predictive models that are not only accurate, but are also interpretable to human experts. Our models are decision lists, which consist of a series of if...then..…

stat.AP2015★ 10 cited

Prediction uncertainty and optimal experimental design for learning dynamical systems

Benjamin Letham, Portia A. Letham, Cynthia Rudin +1

Dynamical systems are frequently used to model biological systems. When these models are fit to data it is necessary to ascertain the uncertainty in the model fit. Here we present…

stat.AP2015★ 53 cited

Reactive point processes: A new approach to predicting power failures in underground electrical systems

Şeyda Ertekin, Cynthia Rudin, Tyler H. McCormick

Reactive point processes (RPPs) are a new statistical model designed for predicting discrete events in time based on past history. RPPs were developed to handle an important proble…