activity
20102025
most citedDetecting causal associations in large nonlinear time series datasets

971 citations · 3k across the 74 of their papers we have counts for

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42 papers · 1 filter

stat.ML2024

Credal Two-Sample Tests of Epistemic Uncertainty

Siu Lun Chau, Antonin Schrab, Arthur Gretton +2

We introduce credal two-sample testing, a new hypothesis testing framework for comparing credal sets -- convex sets of probability measures where each element captures aleatoric un…

stat.ML2023★ 1 cited

Explaining the Uncertain: Stochastic Shapley Values for Gaussian Process Models

Siu Lun Chau, Krikamol Muandet, Dino Sejdinovic

We present a novel approach for explaining Gaussian processes (GPs) that can utilize the full analytical covariance structure present in GPs. Our method is based on the popular sol…

stat.ML2023★ 1 cited

A Rigorous Link between Deep Ensembles and (Variational) Bayesian Methods

Veit David Wild, Sahra Ghalebikesabi, Dino Sejdinovic +1

We establish the first mathematically rigorous link between Bayesian, variational Bayesian, and ensemble methods. A key step towards this it to reformulate the non-convex optimisat…

stat.ML2023

Returning The Favour: When Regression Benefits From Probabilistic Causal Knowledge

Shahine Bouabid, Jake Fawkes, Dino Sejdinovic

A directed acyclic graph (DAG) provides valuable prior knowledge that is often discarded in regression tasks in machine learning. We show that the independences arising from the pr…

stat.ML2022

Doubly Robust Kernel Statistics for Testing Distributional Treatment Effects

Jake Fawkes, Robert Hu, Robin J. Evans +1

With the widespread application of causal inference, it is increasingly important to have tools which can test for the presence of causal effects in a diverse array of circumstance…

stat.ML2022

Bayesian Counterfactual Mean Embeddings and Off-Policy Evaluation

Diego Martinez-Taboada, Dino Sejdinovic

The counterfactual distribution models the effect of the treatment in the untreated group. While most of the work focuses on the expected values of the treatment effect, one may be…

stat.ML2022

Sequential Decision Making on Unmatched Data using Bayesian Kernel Embeddings

Diego Martinez-Taboada, Dino Sejdinovic

The problem of sequentially maximizing the expectation of a function seeks to maximize the expected value of a function of interest without having direct control on its features. I…

stat.ML2022★ 2 cited

Explaining Preferences with Shapley Values

Robert Hu, Siu Lun Chau, Jaime Ferrando Huertas +1

While preference modelling is becoming one of the pillars of machine learning, the problem of preference explanation remains challenging and underexplored. In this paper, we propos…

stat.ML2022

Generalized Variational Inference in Function Spaces: Gaussian Measures meet Bayesian Deep Learning

Veit D. Wild, Robert Hu, Dino Sejdinovic

We develop a framework for generalized variational inference in infinite-dimensional function spaces and use it to construct a method termed Gaussian Wasserstein inference (GWI). G…

stat.ML2022★ 4 cited

Selection, Ignorability and Challenges With Causal Fairness

Jake Fawkes, Robin Evans, Dino Sejdinovic

In this paper we look at popular fairness methods that use causal counterfactuals. These methods capture the intuitive notion that a prediction is fair if it coincides with the pre…

stat.ML2021

RKHS-SHAP: Shapley Values for Kernel Methods

Siu Lun Chau, Robert Hu, Javier Gonzalez +1

Feature attribution for kernel methods is often heuristic and not individualised for each prediction. To address this, we turn to the concept of Shapley values~(SV), a coalition ga…

stat.ML2021★ 3 cited

BayesIMP: Uncertainty Quantification for Causal Data Fusion

Siu Lun Chau, Jean-François Ton, Javier González +2

While causal models are becoming one of the mainstays of machine learning, the problem of uncertainty quantification in causal inference remains challenging. In this paper, we stud…

stat.ML2021★ 3 cited

Connections and Equivalences between the Nyström Method and Sparse Variational Gaussian Processes

Veit Wild, Motonobu Kanagawa, Dino Sejdinovic

We investigate the connections between sparse approximation methods for making kernel methods and Gaussian processes (GPs) scalable to large-scale data, focusing on the Nyström met…

stat.ML2021★ 6 cited

Survival Regression with Proper Scoring Rules and Monotonic Neural Networks

David Rindt, Robert Hu, David Steinsaltz +1

We consider frequently used scoring rules for right-censored survival regression models such as time-dependent concordance, survival-CRPS, integrated Brier score and integrated bin…

stat.ML2020★ 21 cited

Kernel-based Graph Learning from Smooth Signals: A Functional Viewpoint

Xingyue Pu, Siu Lun Chau, Xiaowen Dong +1

The problem of graph learning concerns the construction of an explicit topological structure revealing the relationship between nodes representing data entities, which plays an inc…

stat.ML2020★ 6 cited

Benign Overfitting and Noisy Features

Zhu Li, Weijie Su, Dino Sejdinovic

Modern machine learning often operates in the regime where the number of parameters is much higher than the number of data points, with zero training loss and yet good generalizati…

stat.ML2020★ 5 cited

Variational Inference with Continuously-Indexed Normalizing Flows

Anthony Caterini, Rob Cornish, Dino Sejdinovic +1

Continuously-indexed flows (CIFs) have recently achieved improvements over baseline normalizing flows on a variety of density estimation tasks. CIFs do not possess a closed-form ma…

stat.ML2020

Meta Learning for Causal Direction

Jean-Francois Ton, Dino Sejdinovic, Kenji Fukumizu

The inaccessibility of controlled randomized trials due to inherent constraints in many fields of science has been a fundamental issue in causal inference. In this paper, we focus…

stat.ML2020

Learning Inconsistent Preferences with Gaussian Processes

Siu Lun Chau, Javier González, Dino Sejdinovic

We revisit widely used preferential Gaussian processes by Chu et al.(2005) and challenge their modelling assumption that imposes rankability of data items via latent utility functi…

stat.ML2020

Spectral Ranking with Covariates

Siu Lun Chau, Mihai Cucuringu, Dino Sejdinovic

We consider spectral approaches to the problem of ranking n players given their incomplete and noisy pairwise comparisons, but revisit this classical problem in light of player cov…

stat.ML2020

Large Scale Tensor Regression using Kernels and Variational Inference

Robert Hu, Geoff K. Nicholls, Dino Sejdinovic

We outline an inherent weakness of tensor factorization models when latent factors are expressed as a function of side information and propose a novel method to mitigate this weakn…

stat.ML2019★ 12 cited

Kernel Dependence Regularizers and Gaussian Processes with Applications to Algorithmic Fairness

Zhu Li, Adrian Perez-Suay, Gustau Camps-Valls +1

Current adoption of machine learning in industrial, societal and economical activities has raised concerns about the fairness, equity and ethics of automated decisions. Predictive…

stat.ML2019★ 9 cited

Noise Contrastive Meta-Learning for Conditional Density Estimation using Kernel Mean Embeddings

Jean-Francois Ton, Lucian Chan, Yee Whye Teh +1

Current meta-learning approaches focus on learning functional representations of relationships between variables, i.e. on estimating conditional expectations in regression. In many…

stat.ML2018★ 18 cited

Hyperparameter Learning via Distributional Transfer

Ho Chung Leon Law, Peilin Zhao, Lucian Chan +2

Bayesian optimisation is a popular technique for hyperparameter learning but typically requires initial exploration even in cases where similar prior tasks have been solved. We pro…