27 citations · 74 across the 7 of their papers we have counts for
7 papers
Views on AI Existential Risk Before and After a Public Event at Harvard University
Greg Kestin, Nate Soares
We report the results of identical pre- and post-event surveys given to attendees of a talk, two-sided conversation, and Q&A centered around the book If Anyone Builds It, Everyone…
Functional Decision Theory: A New Theory of Instrumental Rationality
Eliezer Yudkowsky, Nate Soares
This paper describes and motivates a new decision theory known as functional decision theory (FDT), as distinct from causal decision theory and evidential decision theory. Function…
A Formal Approach to the Problem of Logical Non-Omniscience
Scott Garrabrant, Tsvi Benson-Tilsen, Andrew Critch +2
We present the logical induction criterion for computable algorithms that assign probabilities to every logical statement in a given formal language, and refine those probabilities…
Logical Induction
Scott Garrabrant, Tsvi Benson-Tilsen, Andrew Critch +2
We present a computable algorithm that assigns probabilities to every logical statement in a given formal language, and refines those probabilities over time. For instance, if the…
Inductive Coherence
Scott Garrabrant, Benya Fallenstein, Abram Demski +1
While probability theory is normally applied to external environments, there has been some recent interest in probabilistic modeling of the outputs of computations that are too exp…
Asymptotic Convergence in Online Learning with Unbounded Delays
Scott Garrabrant, Nate Soares, Jessica Taylor
We study the problem of predicting the results of computations that are too expensive to run, via the observation of the results of smaller computations. We model this as an online…