3 papers
astro-ph.SR2025
Investigating the Efficacy of Topologically Derived Time Series for Flare Forecasting. II. XGBoost Model
Thomas Williams, Christopher B. Prior, David MacTaggart +1
Solar flares are a primary driver of space weather, and forecasting their occurrence remains a significant challenge. This paper presents a novel flare prediction model based on to…
astro-ph.SR2024
The source of the 2017 cosmic ray half-year modulation event
O. P. M. Aslam, D. MacTaggart, R. Battiston +2
In 2017, as the solar cycle approached solar minimum, an unusually long and large depression was observed in galactic cosmic ray (GCR) protons, detected with the Alpha Magnetic Spe…
astro-ph.SR2024
The magnetic topology of AR13664 leading to its first halo CME
David MacTaggart, Tom Williams, OPM Aslam
In the first half of May 2024, the solar active region (AR)13664 was responsible for generating the strongest geomagnetic storm in over 20 years, through an enhanced production of…