3 papers
astro-ph.SR2025
Investigating the Efficacy of Topologically Derived Time Series for Flare Forecasting. II. XGBoost Model
Thomas Williams, Christopher B. Prior, David MacTaggart +1
Solar flares are a primary driver of space weather, and forecasting their occurrence remains a significant challenge. This paper presents a novel flare prediction model based on to…
astro-ph.SR2024
Investigating the Efficacy of Topologically Derived Time-Series for Flare Forecasting. I. Dataset Preparation
Thomas Williams, Christopher B. Prior, David MacTaggart
The accurate forecasting of solar flares is considered a key goal within the solar physics and space weather communities. There is significant potential for flare prediction to be…
astro-ph.SR2024
The magnetic topology of AR13664 leading to its first halo CME
David MacTaggart, Tom Williams, OPM Aslam
In the first half of May 2024, the solar active region (AR)13664 was responsible for generating the strongest geomagnetic storm in over 20 years, through an enhanced production of…