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math.DS2021
Hurricane Simulation and Nonstationary Extremal Analysis for a Changing Climate
Meagan Carney, Holger Kantz, Matthew Nicol
Particularly important to hurricane risk assessment for coastal regions is finding accurate approximations of return probabilities of maximum windspeeds. Since extremes in maximum…
math.DS2021
Erdos-Renyi laws for exponentially and polynomially mixing dynamical systems
Nicolai Haydn, Matthew Nicol
Erdos-Renyi limit laws give the length scale of a time-window over which time-averages in Birkhoff sums have a non-trivial almost-sure limit. We establish Erdos-Renyi type limit la…