3 papers
cs.LG2025
Controllable Probabilistic Forecasting with Stochastic Decomposition Layers
John S. Schreck, William E. Chapman, Charlie Becker +6
AI weather prediction ensembles with latent noise injection and optimized with the continuous ranked probability score (CRPS) have produced both accurate and well-calibrated predic…
physics.ao-ph2025
CAMulator: Fast Emulation of the Community Atmosphere Model
William E. Chapman, John S. Schreck, Yingkai Sha +5
We introduce CAMulator version 1, an auto-regressive machine-learned (ML) emulator of the Community Atmosphere Model version 6 (CAM6) that simulates the next atmospheric state give…
cs.AI2024
Community Research Earth Digital Intelligence Twin (CREDIT)
John Schreck, Yingkai Sha, William Chapman +7
Recent advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) for numerical weather prediction (NWP) have significantly transformed atmospheric modeling. AI NWP models outperform traditional…