3 papers
stat.AP2025
COBASE: A new copula-based shuffling method for ensemble weather forecast postprocessing
Maurits Flos, Bastien François, Irene Schicker +2
Weather predictions are often provided as ensembles generated by repeated runs of numerical weather prediction models. These forecasts typically exhibit bias and inaccurate depende…
physics.ao-ph2025
Beyond Resolution: Multi-Scale Weather and Climate Data for Alpine Renewable Energy in the Digital Twin Era -- First Evaluations and Recommendations
Irene Schicker, Marianne Bügelmayer-Blaschek, Annemarie Lexer +3
When Austrian hydropower production plummeted by 44% in early 2025 due to reduced snowpack, it exposed a critical vulnerability: standard meteorological and climatological datasets…
physics.ao-ph2025
Building Machine Learning Limited Area Models: Kilometer-Scale Weather Forecasting in Realistic Settings
Simon Adamov, Joel Oskarsson, Leif Denby +8
Machine learning is revolutionizing global weather forecasting, with models that efficiently produce highly accurate forecasts. Apart from global forecasting there is also a large…