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stat.ME2026

The Confounder Trap: Treatment-Encoding Representations in Causal Inference with Text

Marie Neubrander, Graham Tierney, Alexander Volfovsky

Estimating causal effects of linguistic properties from observational text is difficult because the same document can contain both the treatment of interest and the non-treatment t…

stat.ME2026

TEA-Time: Transporting Effects Across Time

Harsh Parikh, Gabriel Levin-Konigsberg, Dominique Perrault-Joncas +1

Treatment effects estimated from a randomized controlled trial are local not only to the study population but also to the time at which the trial was conducted. The literature on g…

stat.ME2026

Optimal Data Integration and Adaptive Sampling for Efficient Treatment Effect Estimation

Yen-Chun Liu, Alexander Volfovsky, German Schnaidt +2

This study addresses the challenge of estimating average treatment effects (ATEs) for advertising campaigns in online marketplaces where complete randomized experimentation is infe…

stat.ME2025

A Double Machine Learning Approach to Combining Experimental and Observational Data

Harsh Parikh, Marco Morucci, Vittorio Orlandi +3

Experimental and observational studies often lack validity due to untestable assumptions. We propose a double machine learning approach to combine experimental and observational st…

stat.ME2025

A Design-based Solution for Causal Inference with Text: Can a Language Model Be Too Large?

Graham Tierney, Srikar Katta, Christopher Bail +2

Many social science questions ask how linguistic properties causally affect an audience's attitudes and behaviors. Because text properties are often interlinked (e.g., angry review…

stat.ME2025

Data Fusion for Partial Identification of Causal Effects

Quinn Lanners, Cynthia Rudin, Alexander Volfovsky +1

Data fusion techniques integrate information from heterogeneous data sources to improve learning, generalization, and decision making across data sciences. In causal inference, the…