2 papers
physics.ao-ph2026
Sensitivity of the ECMWF seasonal forecast model to CO2 and anthropogenic aerosol forcings: Experimental design and impact on climate trends
Michael Mayer, Daniel J. Befort, Jacob Maddison +1
Detection and attribution studies typically rely on free running climate models with modified anthropogenic forcings, yet they fail to reproduce key observed decadal trends. Despit…
physics.ao-ph2025
Rainfall forecasts in daily use over East Africa improved by machine learning
Fenwick C. Cooper, Shruti Nath, Andrew T. T. McRae +20
Ensemble forecasting has proven over the years to be a vital tool for predicting extreme or only partially predictable weather events. In particular life-threatening weather events…