4 papers
Addressing Known Challenges in Solar Flare Forecasting I: Limb-Flare Prediction with a 4-pi Full-Heliosphere Framework
K. D. Leka, Eric L. Wagner, Lisa Upton +3
A demonstrated failure mode for operational solar flare forecasting is the inability to forecast flares that occur near, or just beyond, the solar limb. To address this shortcoming…
Historical Reconstruction of Solar Surface Magnetism from Cycle 1-24 Using the Synthetic Active Region Generator (SARG) and the Advective Flux Transport (AFT) Model
Bibhuti Kumar Jha, Lisa A. Upton, Greg Kopp +1
The historical reconstruction of the Sun's surface magnetic field remains a persistent challenge, limiting our ability to investigate the long-term global properties of the Sun, in…
Quantifying Uncertainties in Solar Wind Forecasting Due to Incomplete Solar Magnetic Field Information
Stephan G. Heinemann, Jens Pomoell, Ronald M. Caplan +5
Solar wind forecasting plays a crucial role in space weather prediction, yet significant uncertainties persist due to incomplete magnetic field observations of the Sun. Isolating t…
Open-source Flux Transport (OFT). I. HipFT -- High-performance Flux Transport
Ronald M. Caplan, Miko M. Stulajter, Jon A. Linker +6
Global solar photospheric magnetic maps play a critical role in solar and heliospheric physics research. Routine magnetograph measurements of the field occur only along the Sun-Ear…