most citedTesting Order Constraints: Qualitative Differences Between Bayes Factors and Normalized Maximum Likelihood

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stat.OT2023

J. B. S. Haldane's Rule of Succession

Eric-Jan Wagenmakers, Sandy Zabell, Quentin F. Gronau

After Bayes, the oldest Bayesian account of enumerative induction is given by Laplace's so-called rule of succession: if all observed instances of a phenomenon to date exhibit…