2 papers
stat.ME2016
Bayesian aggregation of two forecasts in the partial information framework
Philip Ernst, Robin Pemantle, Ville Satopaa +1
We generalize the results of \cite{SPU, SJPU} by showing how the Gaussian aggregator may be computed in a setting where parameter estimation is not required. We proceed to provide…
stat.ME2015
Combining Probability Forecasts and Understanding Probability Extremizing through Information Diversity
Ville Satopää, Robin Pemantle, Lyle Ungar
Randomness in scientific estimation is generally assumed to arise from unmeasured or uncontrolled factors. However, when combining subjective probability estimates, heterogeneity s…