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empirical orthogonal functions 1low-rank approximation 1spatial statistics 1state-space models 1temperature simulation 1

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stat.ME2026

An Interpretable Low-Rank State-Space Model for Multi-Horizon Simulation of Large-Scale Regional Temperature Fields

Varun Kotharkar, Michael L. Stein

The paper introduces an interpretable low‑rank state‑space model that uses a few empirical orthogonal function coefficients to simulate daily regional temperature fields over multi…