47 citations · 47 across the 1 of their papers we have counts for
2 papers
q-fin.RM2023
The Probability Conflation: A Reply
Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Ron Richman, Marcos Carreira +1
We respond to Tetlock et al. (2022) showing 1) how expert judgment fails to reflect tail risk, 2) the lack of compatibility between forecasting tournaments and tail risk assessment…
q-fin.GN2014★ 47 cited
The Precautionary Principle (with Application to the Genetic Modification of Organisms)
Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Rupert Read, Raphael Douady +2
We present a non-naive version of the Precautionary (PP) that allows us to avoid paranoia and paralysis by confining precaution to specific domains and problems. PP is intended to…