activity
20052023
most citedA tutorial on conformal prediction

609 citations · 775 across the 20 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

20 papers

stat.ME2023

Two ways game-theoretic probability can improve data analysis

Glenn Shafer

When testing a statistical hypothesis, is it legitimate to deliberate on the basis of initial data about whether and how to collect further data? Game-theoretic probability's funda…

math.ST2022★ 8 cited

Game-theoretic statistics and safe anytime-valid inference

Aaditya Ramdas, Peter Grünwald, Vladimir Vovk +1

Safe anytime-valid inference (SAVI) provides measures of statistical evidence and certainty -- e-processes for testing and confidence sequences for estimation -- that remain valid…

math.ST2019★ 18 cited

The Language of Betting as a Strategy for Statistical and Scientific Communication

Glenn Shafer

The established language for statistical testing --- significance levels, power, and p-values --- is overly complicated and deceptively conclusive. Even teachers of statistics and…

math.HO2018★ 21 cited

The origins and legacy of Kolmogorov's Grundbegriffe

Glenn Shafer, Vladimir Vovk

April 25, 2003, marked the 100th anniversary of the birth of Andrei Nikolaevich Kolmogorov, the twentieth century's foremost contributor to the mathematical and philosophical found…

q-fin.PR2018

Game-Theoretic Capital Asset Pricing in Continuous Time

Vladimir Vovk, Glenn Shafer

We derive formulas for the performance of capital assets in continuous time from an efficient market hypothesis, with no stochastic assumptions and no assumptions about the beliefs…

q-fin.MF2018

A game-theoretic derivation of the effect

Vladimir Vovk, Glenn Shafer

We study the origins of the effect in finance and SDE. In particular, we show, in the game-theoretic framework, that market volatility is a consequence of the absence o…