4 papers
Genomic-Informed Heterogeneous Graph Learning for Spatiotemporal Avian Influenza Outbreak Forecasting
Jing Du, Haley Stone, Yang Yang +5
Accurate forecasting of Avian Influenza Virus (AIV) outbreaks within wild bird populations necessitates models that account for complex, multi-scale transmission patterns driven by…
From Ecological Connectivity to Outbreak Risk: A Heterogeneous Graph Network for Epidemiological Reasoning under Sparse Spatiotemporal Data
Haley Stone, Jing Du, Yang Yang +8
Estimating population-level prevalence and transmission dynamics of wildlife pathogens can be challenging, partly because surveillance data is sparse, detection-driven, and unevenl…
STOAT: Spatial-Temporal Probabilistic Causal Inference Network
Yang Yang, Du Yin, Hao Xue +1
Spatial-temporal causal time series (STC-TS) involve region-specific temporal observations driven by causally relevant covariates and interconnected across geographic or network-ba…
A Probabilistic Framework for Imputing Genetic Distances in Spatiotemporal Pathogen Models
Haley Stone, Jing Du, Hao Xue +5
Pathogen genome data offers valuable structure for spatial models, but its utility is limited by incomplete sequencing coverage. We propose a probabilistic framework for inferring…