2 papers
stat.AP2026
Bayesian spatiotemporal modelling of political violence and conflict events using discrete-time Hawkes processes
Raiha Browning, Hamish Patten, Judith Rousseau +1
The monitoring of conflict risk in the humanitarian sector is largely based on simple historic averages. The overarching goal of this work is to assess the potential for using a mo…
stat.AP2025
A Bayesian Approach for Earthquake Impact Modelling
Max Anderson Loake, Hamish Patten, David Steinsaltz
Immediately following a disaster event, such as an earthquake, estimates of the damage extent play a key role in informing the coordination of response and recovery efforts. We dev…