4 papers
Decision-oriented benchmarking to transform AI weather forecast access: Application to the Indian monsoon
Rajat Masiwal, Colin Aitken, Adam Marchakitus +9
Artificial intelligence weather prediction (AIWP) models now often outperform traditional physics-based models on common metrics while requiring orders-of-magnitude less computing…
Predicting Beyond Training Data via Extrapolation versus Translocation: AI Weather Models and Dubai's Unprecedented 2024 Rainfall
Y. Qiang Sun, Pedram Hassanzadeh, Tiffany Shaw +1
Artificial intelligence (AI) models have transformed weather forecasting, but their skill for gray swan extremes is unclear. Here, we analyze GraphCast, AIFS, and FuXi forecasts of…
Benchmarking Regional Thermodynamic Trends in an AI emulator, ACE2, and a hybrid model, NeuralGCM
Katharine Rucker, Ian Baxter, Pedram Hassanzadeh +2
AI models have emerged as potential complements to physics-based models, but their skill in capturing observed regional climate trends with important societal impacts has not been…
Benchmarking atmospheric circulation variability in an AI emulator, ACE2, and a hybrid model, NeuralGCM
Ian Baxter, Hamid Pahlavan, Pedram Hassanzadeh +2
Physics-based atmosphere-land models with prescribed sea surface temperature have notable successes but also biases in their ability to represent atmospheric variability compared t…