3 papers
physics.ao-ph2026
Quantification of the cascading tipping probability from the AMOC to the Amazon rainforest
Valérian Jacques-Dumas, Henk A. Dijkstra
The Amazon rainforest and the AMOC are considered to be tipping elements: they are important components of the Earth system, but may collapse under climate change. Moreover, an AMO…
physics.ao-ph2024
Resilience of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation
Valérian Jacques-Dumas, Henk A. Dijkstra, Christian Kuehn
We address the issue of resilience of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) given the many indications that this dynamical system is in a multi-stable regime. A no…
math.PR2024
Warning Signs for Boundary Noise and their Application to an Ocean Boussinesq Model
Paolo Bernuzzi, Henk A. Dijkstra, Christian Kuehn
In this paper, we construct and discuss early-warning signs of the approach of a parameter to a deterministic bifurcation on a stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) model…