2 papers
stat.AP2026
Early warning of Mpox outbreaks in U.S. jurisdictions using Lasso Vector Autoregression models with cross-jurisdictional lags
Hannah Craddock, Joel O. Wertheim, Eliah Aronoff-Spencer +8
Mpox is an orthopoxvirus that infects humans and animals and is transmitted primarily through close physical contact. The episodic and spatially heterogeneous dynamics of Mpox tran…
q-bio.QM2025
A Bayesian Modelling Framework with Model Comparison for Epidemics with Super-Spreading
Hannah Craddock, Simon EF Spencer, Xavier Didelot
The transmission dynamics of an epidemic are rarely homogeneous. Super-spreading events and super-spreading individuals are two types of heterogeneous transmissibility. Inference o…