activity
20052023
most citedDynamic Red Queen explains patterns in fatal insurgent attacks

102 citations · 182 across the 5 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

7 papers

physics.soc-ph2023★ 6 cited

Explaining conflict violence in terms of conflict actor dynamics

Katerina Tkacova, Annette Idler, Neil Johnson +1

We study the severity of conflict-related violence in Colombia at an unprecedented granular scale in space and across time. Splitting the data into different geographical regions a…

physics.soc-ph2019

Toward a Unified Understanding of Casualty Distributions in Human Conflict

Michael Spagat, Stijn van Weezel, Minzhang Zheng +1

We are able to unify various disparate claims and results in the literature, that stand in the way of a unified description and understanding of human conflict. First, we provide a…

physics.soc-ph2012

Financial black swans driven by ultrafast machine ecology

Neil Johnson, Guannan Zhao, Eric Hunsader +4

Society's drive toward ever faster socio-technical systems, means that there is an urgent need to understand the threat from 'black swan' extreme events that might emerge. On 6 May…

physics.soc-ph2011

Escalation, timing and severity of insurgent and terrorist events: Toward a unified theory of future threats

Neil F. Johnson

I present a unified discussion of several recently published results concerning the escalation, timing and severity of violent events in human conflicts and global terrorism, and s…

physics.soc-ph2011★ 102 cited

Dynamic Red Queen explains patterns in fatal insurgent attacks

Neil Johnson, Spencer Carran, Joel Botner +5

The Red Queen's notion "It takes all the running you can do, to keep in the same place" has been applied within evolutionary biology, politics and economics. We find that a general…

physics.soc-ph2006★ 58 cited

Universal patterns underlying ongoing wars and terrorism

Neil F. Johnson, Mike Spagat, Jorge A. Restrepo +5

We report a remarkable universality in the patterns of violence arising in three high-profile ongoing wars, and in global terrorism. Our results suggest that these quite different…