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stat.ML2026
Winner's Curse Drives False Promises in Data-Driven Decisions: A Case Study in Refugee Matching
Hamsa Bastani, Osbert Bastani, Bryce McLaughlin
A major challenge in data-driven decision-making is accurate policy evaluation-i.e., guaranteeing that a learned decision-making policy achieves the promised benefits. A popular st…
stat.ML2026
Beating the Winner's Curse via Inference-Aware Policy Optimization
Hamsa Bastani, Osbert Bastani, Bryce McLaughlin
There has been a surge of recent interest in automatically learning policies to target treatment decisions based on rich individual covariates. In addition, practitioners want conf…