From the 1 of 4 linked papers with an AI index.
4 papers
Multi-scale measures of time-varying epidemic spread on human mobility networks
Cathal Mills, Benjamin Reddy, William S. Hart +5
The paper introduces a network-based framework that incorporates within‑day human mobility into renewal equations to define multiple instantaneous reproduction numbers for location…
Joint economic and epidemiological modelling of alternative pandemic response strategies
M J Plank, M Sushames, T Fisher-Taylor +4
In an emerging pandemic, policymakers need to make important decisions with limited information, for example choosing between a mitigation, suppression or elimination strategy. The…
A primer on inference and prediction with epidemic renewal models and sequential Monte Carlo
Nicholas Steyn, Kris V. Parag, Robin N. Thompson +1
Renewal models are widely used in statistical epidemiology as semi-mechanistic models of disease transmission. While primarily used for estimating the instantaneous reproduction nu…
The time-dependent reproduction number for epidemics in heterogeneous populations
Ioana Bouros, Robin Thompson, David Gavaghan +1
The time-dependent reproduction number Rt can be used to track pathogen transmission and to assess the efficacy of interventions. This quantity can be estimated by fitting renewal…