3 papers
stat.AP2026
Two-Part Forecasting for Time-Shifted Metrics
Harrison Katz, Erica Savage, Kai Thomas Brusch
Katz, Savage, and Brusch propose a two-part forecasting method for sectors where event timing differs from recording time. They treat forecasting as a time-shift operation, using u…
q-fin.ST2025
Slomads Rising: Stay Length Shifts in Digital Nomad Travel, United States 2019-2024
Harrison Katz, Erica Savage
Using all U.S. Airbnb reservations created in 2019-2024 (booking-count weighted), we quantify pandemic-era shifts in nights per booking (NPB) and the mechanism behind them. The mea…
stat.AP2025
Lead Times in Flux: Analyzing Airbnb Booking Dynamics During Global Upheavals (2018-2022)
Harrison Katz, Erica Savage, Peter Coles
Short-term shifts in booking behaviors can disrupt forecasting in the travel and hospitality industry, especially during global crises. Traditional metrics like average or median l…