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20112026
most citedAleatoric and Epistemic Uncertainty in Machine Learning: An Introduction to Concepts and Methods

1.7k citations · 2.1k across the 113 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

126 papers

cs.LG2026★ 2 cited

Uncertainty Quantification in Pairwise Difference Learning for Classification

Mohamed Karim Belaid, Maximilian Rabus, Eyke Hüllermeier

Instead of learning a mapping from instances to outcomes in the standard way, the key idea of pairwise difference learning (PDL) is to learn a function that takes two instances as…

cs.LG2026

Challenges and Solutions for Bandits in the Wild: Warm-Started Mixture Bandits for Cross-Cohort Slate Recommendation

Serafima Lebedeva, Sumantrak Mukherjee, Ali Arshad Sadal +8

Many recommender services repeatedly encounter cold-start cohorts, where new users arrive with little or no interaction history. This creates two challenges: learning user preferen…

cs.AI2026

The Boundaries of Automation: A Theory of Persistent Human Participation

Fares Fourati, Hinrich Schütze, Eyke Hüllermeier +1

The rapid progress of AI has intensified the long-standing pursuit of automation: replacing human participation with algorithms wherever possible. Implicit in this pursuit is the a…

cs.LG2026

Evaluating Epistemic Uncertainty: Beyond OOD Detection and Active Learning

Jakub Paplhám, Willem Waegeman, Eyke Hüllermeier +1

Current evaluation of epistemic uncertainty relies on tasks such as out-ofdistribution detection and active learning. However, the Bayes-optimal decision strategies for these tasks…

cs.LG2026

OperatorSHAP: Fast and Accurate Shapley Value Estimation for Neural Operators

Joshua Stiller, Santo M. A. R. Thies, Felix Czaja +1

Understanding model predictions is essential for physical applications, where outputs often inform safety-critical decisions, such as structural load assessment, weather warnings,…

cs.LG2026

Uncertainty quantification via conformal prediction in data assimilation

Catherine George, Alireza Javanmardi, Tijana Janjić +1

Quantifying the evolution of uncertainty is critical to both probabilistic forecasting and data assimilation in numerical weather prediction. In this study, we investigate the appl…

cs.LG2026

Reliable Conformal Prediction for Ordinal Classification Using the Ranked Probability Score

Stefan Haas, Luca Killmaier, Alireza Javanmardi +1

Ordinal classification (OC) arises in high-stakes domains such as medicine and finance, where uncertainty quantification must account for the severity of ordinal errors. Conformal…

cs.LG2026

What Uncertainties Do We Need for Dynamical Systems?

Yusuf Sale, Christopher Bülte, Felix Czaja +2

The distinction between aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty has received considerable attention in machine learning research, mainly in the context of supervised learning but also…

cs.LG2026

Calibrated Preference Learning: The Case of Label Ranking

Santo M. A. R. Thies, Viktor Bengs, Timo Kaufmann +2

Calibration, the alignment of predicted probabilities with true outcome frequencies, is essential for reliable decision-making. While extensively studied for classification and reg…

cs.LG2026

CLANE: Continual Learning of Actions on Neuromorphic Hardware from Event Cameras

Elvin Hajizada, Michael Neumeier, Edward Paxon Frady +4

Recognizing and continuously learning novel human actions without forgetting prior classes is a requirement for emerging AR/VR and robotics applications. For these applications, bo…

cs.LG2026

Unification and Optimization of Robust Supervised Learning

Jonas Hanselle, Valentin Margraf, Clemens Damke +1

Robust learning methods such as distributionally robust optimization, vicinal risk minimization, Mixup, and label smoothing address different sources of uncertainty, including dist…

cs.LG2026

Proxy-Based Approximation of Shapley and Banzhaf Interactions

Santo M. A. R. Thies, Hubert Baniecki, R. Teal Witter +3

Shapley and Banzhaf interactions capture the complex dynamics inherent in modern machine learning applications. However, current estimators for these higher-order interactions trad…

cs.LG2026

Efficient Credal Prediction through Decalibration

Paul Hofman, Timo Löhr, Maximilian Muschalik +2

A reliable representation of uncertainty is essential for the application of modern machine learning methods in safety-critical settings. In this regard, the use of credal sets (i.…

cs.LG2026

Linear-LLM-SCM: Benchmarking LLMs for Coefficient Elicitation in Linear-Gaussian Causal Models

Kanta Yamaoka, Sumantrak Mukherjee, Thomas Gärtner +5

Large language models (LLMs) have shown potential in identifying qualitative causal relations, but their ability to perform quantitative causal reasoning---estimating effect sizes…

cs.LG2025

ResponseRank: Data-Efficient Reward Modeling through Preference Strength Learning

Timo Kaufmann, Yannick Metz, Daniel Keim +1

Binary choices, as often used for reinforcement learning from human feedback (RLHF), convey only the direction of a preference. A person may choose apples over oranges and bananas…

cs.LG2025★ 1 cited

Distribution Matching for Graph Quantification Under Structural Covariate Shift

Clemens Damke, Eyke Hüllermeier

Graphs are commonly used in machine learning to model relationships between instances. Consider the task of predicting the political preferences of users in a social network; to so…

cs.LG2025

Co-Exploration and Co-Exploitation via Shared Structure in Multi-Task Bandits

Sumantrak Mukherjee, Serafima Lebedeva, Valentin Margraf +6

We propose a novel Bayesian framework for efficient exploration in contextual multi-task multi-armed bandit settings, where the context is only observed partially and dependencies…

cs.LG2025

Uncertainty Quantification for Machine Learning: One Size Does Not Fit All

Paul Hofman, Yusuf Sale, Eyke Hüllermeier

Proper quantification of predictive uncertainty is essential for the use of machine learning in safety-critical applications. Various uncertainty measures have been proposed for th…

cs.LG2025★ 1 cited

Online Continual Learning on Intel Loihi 2 via a Co-designed Spiking Neural Network

Elvin Hajizada, Danielle Rager, Timothy Shea +5

Edge AI must adapt to new classes and shifting data within a tight power budget, but online continual learning (learning from each sample before the next arrives) is where conventi…

cs.LG2025

Efficient Online Learning with Predictive Coding Networks: Exploiting Temporal Correlations

Darius Masoum Zadeh-Jousdani, Elvin Hajizada, Eyke Hüllermeier

Robotic systems operating at the edge require efficient online learning algorithms that can continuously adapt to changing environments while processing streaming sensory data. Tra…

cs.CL2025

Feedback Forensics: A Toolkit to Measure AI Personality

Arduin Findeis, Timo Kaufmann, Eyke Hüllermeier +1

Some traits making a "good" AI model are hard to describe upfront. For example, should responses be more polite or more casual? Such traits are sometimes summarized as model charac…

cs.LG2025

Fine-Grained Uncertainty Decomposition in Large Language Models: A Spectral Approach

Nassim Walha, Sebastian G. Gruber, Thomas Decker +4

As Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly integrated in diverse applications, obtaining reliable measures of their predictive uncertainty has become critically important. A…

cs.CV2025

Explaining Similarity in Vision-Language Encoders with Weighted Banzhaf Interactions

Hubert Baniecki, Maximilian Muschalik, Fabian Fumagalli +3

Language-image pre-training (LIP) enables the development of vision-language models capable of zero-shot classification, localization, multimodal retrieval, and semantic understand…

cs.LG2025

Aleatoric and Epistemic Uncertainty Measures for Ordinal Classification through Binary Reduction

Stefan Haas, Eyke Hüllermeier

Ordinal classification problems, where labels exhibit a natural order, are prevalent in high-stakes fields such as medicine and finance. Accurate uncertainty quantification, includ…