3 papers
econ.EM2026
The purpose of an estimator is what it does: Misspecification, estimands, and over-identification
Isaiah Andrews, Jiafeng Chen, Otavio Tecchio
In over-identified models, misspecification -- the norm rather than exception -- fundamentally changes what estimators estimate. Different estimators imply different estimands rath…
stat.ME2026
Optimal Conditional Inference in Adaptive Experiments
Jiafeng Chen, Isaiah Andrews
We study batched bandit experiments and consider the problem of inference conditional on the realized stopping time, assignment probabilities, and target parameter, where all of th…
econ.EM2025
Certified Decisions
Isaiah Andrews, Jiafeng Chen
Hypothesis tests and confidence intervals are ubiquitous in empirical research, yet their connection to subsequent decision-making is often unclear. We develop a theory of certifie…