79 citations · 86 across the 7 of their papers we have counts for
3 papers · 1 filter
Simple Macroeconomic Forecast Distributions for the G7 Economies
Friederike Becker, Fabian Krüger, Melanie Schienle
We present a simple method for predicting the distribution of output growth and inflation in the G7 economies. The method is based on point forecasts published by the International…
Direction Augmentation in the Evaluation of Armed Conflict Predictions
Johannes Bracher, Lotta Rüter, Fabian Krüger +2
In many forecasting settings, there is a specific interest in predicting the sign of an outcome variable correctly in addition to its magnitude. For instance, when forecasting arme…
How have German University Tuition Fees Affected Enrollment Rates: Robust Model Selection and Design-based Inference in High-Dimensions
Konstantin Görgen, Melanie Schienle
We use official data for all 16 federal German states to study the causal effect of a flat 1000 Euro state-dependent university tuition fee on the enrollment behavior of students d…