From the 1 of 7 linked papers with an AI index.
7 papers
Memory compression and physical state augmentation favor different AMOC prediction tasks
Mauricio Herrera-MarÃn
The paper compares using compressed memory of past AMOC indices versus augmenting forecasts with explicit physical state variables to predict the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Ci…
Projected climate memory and inherited warm-tail risk in accelerated European summer warming
Mauricio Herrera-Marín, Alex Godoy-Faúndez, Diego Rivera
European summer warming reflects interactions among background change, persistent ocean--land--circulation states, and same-season variability. We develop an empirical reduced-dyna…
A Spatial Persistence Gradient in European Warming Consistent with North Atlantic Cold-Blob Influence
Mauricio Herrera-MarÃn, Alex Godoy-Faúndez, Diego Rivera
Europe is warming faster than the global mean, yet the spatial organisation of this acceleration remains incompletely understood. Using ERA5 reanalysis for 1950--2024 across 28 IPC…
Memory operator ensembles indicate proximity to criticality in simulated AMOC transitions
Mauricio Herrera-MarÃn
Classical early-warning signals assume that recovery slows near a tipping point, but in a well-studied CESM simulation of AMOC collapse, autocorrelation and variance decrease inste…
Regime-Switching Volterra Operators: Modal Stability and Quenched Amplification
Mauricio Herrera-MarÃn
We develop an operator-theoretic framework for finite-dimensional, regime-dependent Volterra equations with completely monotone memory kernels, dissipative network coupling, and Ha…
Quenched Amplification and Tail Shaping in Networked Systems with Memory and Regime Switching
Mauricio Herrera-MarÃn
Networked systems operating under intermittent adverse conditions and long memory can remain stable on average while exhibiting rare but extreme trajectory-level excursions. We stu…