69 citations · 77 across the 12 of their papers we have counts for
12 papers
Modelling the spread of two successive SIR epidemics on a configuration model network
Frank Ball, Abid Ali Lashari, David Sirl +1
We present a stochastic model for two successive SIR (Susceptible, Infectious, Recovered) epidemics in the same network structured population. Individuals infected during the first…
Urban mapping in Dar es Salaam using AJIVE
Rachel J. Carrington, Ian L. Dryden, Madeleine Ellis +3
Mapping deprivation in urban areas is important, for example for identifying areas of greatest need and planning interventions. Traditional ways of obtaining deprivation estimates…
Comparative Judgement Modeling to Map Forced Marriage at Local Levels
R. G. Seymour, A. Nyarko-Agyei, H. R. McCabe +4
Forcing someone into marriage against their will is a violation of their human rights. In 2021, the county of Nottinghamshire, UK, launched a strategy to tackle forced marriage and…
SIR epidemics in populations with large sub-communities
Frank Ball, David Sirl, Pieter Trapman
We investigate final outcome properties of an SIR (susceptible infective recovered) epidemic model defined on a population of large sub-communities in which there is st…
The Bayesian Spatial Bradley--Terry Model: Urban Deprivation Modeling in Tanzania
R. G. Seymour, D. Sirl, S. Preston +4
Identifying the most deprived regions of any country or city is key if policy makers are to design successful interventions. However, locating areas with the greatest need is often…
A stochastic SIR network epidemic model with preventive dropping of edges
Frank Ball, Tom Britton, Ka Yin Leung +1
A Markovian SIR (Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered) model is considered for the spread of an epidemic on a configuration model network, in which susceptible individuals may take pre…
Individual preventive measures during an epidemic may have negative population-level outcomes
Ka Yin Leung, Frank Ball, David Sirl +1
The outbreak of an infectious disease in a human population can lead to individuals responding with preventive measures in an attempt to avoid getting infected. This leads to chang…
Evaluation of vaccination strategies for SIR epidemics on random networks incorporating household structure
Frank Ball, David Sirl
This paper is concerned with the analysis of vaccination strategies in a stochastic SIR (susceptible infected removed) model for the spread of an epidemic amongst a pop…
A network with tunable clustering, degree correlation and degree distribution, and an epidemic thereon
Frank Ball, Tom Britton, David Sirl
A random network model which allows for tunable, quite general forms of clustering, degree correlation and degree distribution is defined. The model is an extension of the configur…
Epidemics on random intersection graphs
Frank G. Ball, David J. Sirl, Pieter Trapman
In this paper we consider a model for the spread of a stochastic SIR (Susceptible Infectious Recovered) epidemic on a network of individuals described by a random inter…
Household epidemic models with varying infection response
Frank Ball, Tom Britton, David Sirl
This paper is concerned with SIR (susceptible infected removed) household epidemic models in which the infection response may be either mild or severe, with the type of…
Threshold behaviour and final outcome of an epidemic on a random network with household structure
Frank Ball, David Sirl, Pieter Trapman
This paper considers a stochastic SIR (susceptibleinfectiveremoved) epidemic model in which individuals may make infectious contacts in two ways, both within `households'…