activity
20122026
most citedOn the chaotic expansion for counting processes

3 citations · 4 across the 10 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

11 papers

q-fin.RM2026

A stochastic SIR model for cyber contagion: application to granular growth of firms and to insurance portfolio

Caroline Hillairet, Olivier Lopez, Lionel Sopgoui

This work evaluates the impact of contagious cyber-events, over a finite horizon, on firms' financial health and on a cyber insurance portfolio. Our approach builds on key empirica…

econ.TH2025

Disaster Risk Financing through Taxation: A Framework for Regional Participation in Collective Risk-Sharing

Fallou Niakh, Arthur Charpentier, Caroline Hillairet +1

We consider an economy composed of different risk profile regions wishing to be hedged against a disaster risk using multi-region catastrophe insurance. Such catastrophic events in…

q-fin.RM2025

A stochastic Gordon-Loeb model for optimal cybersecurity investment under clustered attacks

Giorgia Callegaro, Claudio Fontana, Caroline Hillairet +1

We develop a continuous-time stochastic model for optimal cybersecurity investment under the threat of cyberattacks. The arrival of attacks is modeled using a Hawkes process, captu…

math.PR2025

Multivariate Self-Exciting Processes with Dependencies

Caroline Hillairet, Thomas Peyrat, Anthony Réveillac

This paper introduces the class of multidimensional self-exciting processes with dependencies (MSPD), which is a unifying writing for a large class of processes: counting, loss, in…

math.ST2023

Cyber risk modeling using a two-phase Hawkes process with external excitation

Alexandre Boumezoued, Yousra Cherkaoui, Caroline Hillairet

With the growing digital transformation of the worldwide economy, cyber risk has become a major issue. As 1 % of the world's GDP (around $1,000 billion) is allegedly lost to cyberc…

math.PR20223 cited

On the chaotic expansion for counting processes

Caroline Hillairet, Anthony Reveillac

We introduce and study an alternative form of the chaotic expansion for counting processes using the Poisson imbedding representation; we name this alternative form \textit{pseudo-…